Author: Paul Kilbey

  • Ever more people are leaving Manchester. Where are they going?

    Ever more people are leaving Manchester. Where are they going?

    International migration figures have been making the headlines over the past few days, but I’ve been taking a look at migration within the UK – in particular at what’s happening in my home city of Manchester. Here’s what I’ve found.

    More than 11,000 more people moved away from Manchester last year than moved to it, according to ONS estimated data on internal UK migration – the third highest net loss of any local authority.

    Birmingham had the greatest net loss, of more than 16,000, while Newham in London lost more than 15,000 – with London as a whole losing more than 128,000 people to the rest of the country. The post-Covid exodus from the capital does not seem to have ended.

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  • Indices of deprivation 2025: A tale of two Stockports

    Indices of deprivation 2025: A tale of two Stockports

    The government has recently published the English indices of multiple deprivation for 2025 – the first release on relative deprivation levels since 2019.

    They use seven different measures to calculate a figure that approximates how deprived each area is (hence “multiple”), and then they rank (hence “index”) everywhere in the country based on that score. The measures used relate to income, employment, education, health, crime, housing, and the quality of the local environment.

    I’ve taken a look at what the figures say about my neck of the woods – mainly Greater Manchester, but first of all here’s a look at the North West as a whole, because of Blackpool up in Lancashire.

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  • Yet another thing about council tax

    Yet another thing about council tax

    Should council tax be abolished? Thirteen Labour MPs think so. They’re certainly right to shine a spotlight on it, as council tax – for better or worse – is the source of some fascinating data.

    When I taught public affairs, it was one of my favourite topics to teach, because it was simply guaranteed to get people talking – for starters because any classroom of young adults is bound to contain several who are furious at the concept of paying any sort of tax at all, and probably a few more too who erroneously believe they should qualify for some sort of discount from it.

    Getting into the details was fun too. I always enjoyed watching jaws hit the floor when I told them valuations were based on what your property would have been worth if it had been sold on 1 April 1991, and indeed when I told them you could get an exemption for being a member of a religious order.

    Then I’d show them my favourite graph – the first one under ‘Households – all taxes’ here – which is a beautifully clear illustration of the difference between progressive and regressive taxation. That graph, as you’ll see, is from 2022/23, so here’s an updated version with more recent figures.

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  • How have UK salaries fared since 2000?

    How have UK salaries fared since 2000?

    Somehow, we’ve made it a quarter of the way through the 21st century.

    It’s been a slightly bumpy ride here in the UK. Economically it’s been an especially choice few years. We learned last week that the jobs market is still struggling (although not as much as it was quite recently), and it’s far from a niche opinion to suggest we are still going through a cost-of-living-crisis.

    But what about salaries?

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